Iran’s allies are facing the risk of being dismantled
As Iran’s influence weakens, its allied militias in Iraq are coming under unprecedented pressure. The United States is no longer acting alone. The Gulf states are now openly pushing Baghdad to disarm the pro-Iranian militias. According to reports, the GCC has presented Iraq with detailed evidence of attacks against Gulf countries and demanded action. Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi has also set the end of September as the deadline for disarmament.
For years, these militias were one of Tehran’s most effective tools for projecting power without direct confrontation. But as Iraq, the United States, and the Gulf states converge on the goal of reducing Iranian influence, the political and military space available to these groups is shrinking rapidly.
Disarmament will almost certainly face fierce resistance and is unlikely to be completed quickly. Even so, the broader political trend is becoming increasingly clear. After Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iran itself, Tehran’s proxy forces in Iraq could become the next front in the effort to dismantle the “Axis of Resistance.” If Baghdad follows through, it would mark one of the most significant blows to Iran’s regional influence in years. The peak of Iran’s influence in the Middle East may already be behind it.
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Control Threat | Strategic Risk Analysis